CTeBockhorst's Blog

The Mortgage and Real Estate Scoop

  • Home
  • About
  • Blog
  • Resources
    • Calculators
    • Download My eGuide Today!
    • First Time Buyer Tips
    • First Time Seller Tips
    • Loan Checklist
    • Loan Process
    • Loan Programs
    • Home Appraisal
    • Home Inspection
    • What to Expect at a Loan Closing: A Step-by-Step Guide
  • Apply
  • Reviews
    • Read My Reviews
    • Zillow Reviews
    • Leave a Review
  • Contact
You are here: Home / Archives for Housing Projections

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – December 15, 2014

December 15, 2014 by Coleen TeBockhorst

What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week December 15 2014

Although there were few scheduled economic events related to mortgages and housing, last week brought an article about housing projections for 2015. Other news included increased job openings along with lower than expected jobless claims and higher mortgage rates.

Job Openings, Retail Sales and Mortgage Rates Rise

The U.S. Department of Commerce reported that November job increased to 4.80 million as compared to October’s reading of 4.70 million job openings. Weekly jobless claims corresponded as new claims fell to 294,000 as compared to the prior week’s reading of 297,000 new jobless claims. This was the lowest reading for new jobless claims in three weeks. Analysts had expected a reading of 206,000 new jobless claims.

Further signs of economic strengthening were seen in the retail sector. Retail sales posted their strongest gains in eight months with a gain of 0.70 percent in November according to the Commerce Department. November’s reading exceeded expectations of a 0.40 percent increase which was based on October’s original reading of a 0.30 percent increase in retail sales. November’s retail sales (excluding automotive sales) rose by 0.50 percent, which was the highest reading since June. October’s reading was later revised to 0.50 percent. Automotive sales rose by 1.70 percent in November, which was their highest reading since August.

Amidst last week’s economic gains, mortgage rates also rose. Freddie Mac reported that the average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage was 3.93 percent, a gain of four basis points over the previous week. The average rate 15-year mortgage gained 10 basis points at 3.20 percent. The average rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage rose by four basis points to 2.94 percent. Average discount points for all three loan types remained steady at 0.50 percent.

Analysts Offer Housing Predictions for 2015

Fortune reported predictions made by analysts during a panel discussion on housing trends. David M. Blitzer, chairman of the S& P Index Committee, characterized next year’s housing trends as “mysterious.” Analysts pinpointed the influence of the millennial generation as gaining strength in housing markets. As millennials begin to buy their first homes, their tastes and preferences are expected to overshadow the long-held influence of the baby boomer generation. Millennial influence includes a trend called millennial mis-match; Millennials prefer to live in high-cost areas including New York City, Honolulu, Hawaii and Austin, Texas, but their status as first-time home buyers conflicts with this preference. Other trends discussed by analysts attending the panel discussion included:

Mortgage rates predicted to rise: Stronger economic conditions and no Federal stimulus are expected to contribute to rising mortgage rates, which some analysts said were expected to rise to approximately 5.00 percent for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage.

Home price growth and affordability expected to decline: Home prices gained 6.40 percent year-over-year in October 2014 as compared to growth of 10.60 percent for the same period in 2013. High demand for homes in pricey markets coupled with rising mortgage rates are expected to price the middle class out of many high-demand markets.

What’s Ahead

This week’s scheduled economic events include the Wells Fargo/National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index report for December and the Commerce Department’s December report on Housing Starts. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the Federal Reserve will release its customary statement after its meeting concludes on Wednesday. The FOMC statement will be followed by a press conference given by Fed chair Janet Yellen, who also chairs the FOMC.

Filed Under: Market Outlook Tagged With: Department of Commerce, Housing Projections, Market Outlook

Contact Coleen

Coleen Tebockhorst

Coleen TeBockhorst
coleen.tebockhorst@citywidehm.com

Senior Loan Officer

Call me! (612) 701-8512

NMLS #274205

Download My Mortgage eGuide today

CW Home Mortgage logo_White

Guaranteed Rate, Inc. DBA Citywide Home Mortgage

Categories

Our Location

10591 165th St. West
Lakeville MN, 55044

Connect With Me

This site is not authorized by the New York State Department of Financial Services. No mortgage loan applications for properties located in New York will be accepted through this site. Operating in the state of California as Guaranteed Rate, Inc. D/B/A Citywide Home Mortgage. If you are a California resident, please review our Privacy Policy to learn more about the categories and business purpose of personal information we may collect and your right to opt-out from the sale of personal information.

Applicant subject to credit and underwriting approval. Not all applicants will be approved for financing. Receipt of application does not represent an approval for financing or interest rate guarantee. Refinancing your mortgage may increase costs over the term of your loan. Restrictions may apply. All information provided in this publication is for informational and educational purposes only, and in no way is any of the content contained herein to be construed as financial, investment, or legal advice or instruction. Citywide Home Mortgage does not guarantee the quality, accuracy, completeness or timelines of the information in this publication. While efforts are made to verify the information provided, the information should not be assumed to be error-free. Some information in the publication may have been provided by third parties and has not necessarily been verified by Citywide Home Mortgage. Citywide Home Mortgage, its affiliates and subsidiaries do not assume any liability for the information contained herein, be it direct, indirect, consequential, special, or exemplary, or other damages whatsoever and howsoever caused, arising out of or in connection with the use of this publication or in reliance on the information, including any personal or pecuniary loss, whether the action is in contract, tort (including negligence) or other tortious action.

Coleen TeBockhorst NMLS ID: 274205 Copyright © 1998-2025 Guaranteed Rate, Inc. D/B/A Citywide Home Mortgage. All rights reserved.

For licensing information, go to: www.nmlsconsumeraccess.org.

NMLS License #2611 – 3940 N Ravenswood Chicago, IL 60613. (866) 508-5515. Equal Housing Lender.

Licensing | Privacy | Terms of Use

Copyright © 2025 · Powered by MySMARTblog

Copyright © 2025 · Genesis Sample Theme on Genesis Framework · WordPress · Log in