
Despite the recent pause on tariffs for Europe and progressing talks with China, the economic outlook remains largely negative across all sectors and markets. Although this week was relatively light on economic reports, the most notable was the Leading Economic Indicators, which showed a significant decline in every measurable category for April. This decline is largely attributed to the tariff policies implemented recently. Overall, the outlook remains pessimistic, despite other markets showing a more favorable reaction to the recent pauses on tariffs.
U.S. Leading Economic Indicators
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the US fell sharply by 1.0% in April 2025 to 99.4 (2016=100), after declining by 0.8% in March (revised downward from the -0.7% originally reported). The LEI declined by 2.0% in the six-month period ending April 2025, the same rate of decline as over the previous six months (April–October 2024).
“The U.S. LEI registered its largest monthly decline since March 2023, when many feared the US was headed into recession, which did not ultimately materialize,” said Justyna Zabinska-La Monica, Senior Manager, Business Cycle Indicators, at The Conference Board. “Most components of the index deteriorated. Notably, consumers’ expectations have become continuously more pessimistic each month since January 2025, while the contribution of building permits and average working hours in manufacturing turned negative in April.
Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index
• 15-Yr FRM rates saw an increase of 0.09% for this week, with the current rate at 6.01%
• 30-Yr FRM rates saw an increase of 0.05% for this week, with the current rate at 6.86%
MND Rate Index
• 30-Yr FHA rates saw an increase of 0.18% for this week. Current rates at 6.53%
• 30-Yr VA rates saw an increase of 0.17% for this week. Current rates at 6.54%
Jobless Claims
Initial Claims were reported to be 227,000 compared to the expected claims of 230,000. The prior week landed at 229,000.
What’s Ahead
PCE Index data release, the Federal Reserve’s inflation indicator, the FOMC minutes giving us forward guidance for the Federal Reserve’s policy, and Univ. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment will be the most impactful releases of next week.
This Memorial Day, we pause to remember the brave men and women who gave their lives in service to our country. Their courage, sacrifice, and commitment to freedom have made it possible for all of us to pursue our dreams, including the dream of home ownership.
If you’re considering buying a home, you’re likely wondering how much you’ll need for a down payment. The common belief is that you need to put down 20% of the home’s purchase price, but that’s not the only option and in many cases, it’s not even necessary.
Getting turned down for a mortgage can be discouraging, but it doesn’t mean the dream of homeownership is over. In fact, understanding why your application was declined is the first step toward making a stronger comeback. Let’s look at some of the most common reasons a mortgage might be denied and what you can do about it.
We love our pets, they are part of the family. But did you know that your furry (or feathered) friend could play a surprising role in your homebuying journey? While your dog probably will not impact your credit score, being a pet owner can influence where and how you buy a home, and even the type of loan you choose.
As your mortgage advisor, I am not here to tell you to give up your favorite coffee, but I am here to show you how something as simple as your daily coffee run can reveal some powerful lessons about how to pay off your mortgage faster.
As more homeowners seek sustainable living options, eco-friendly mortgages have become a valuable tool for financing energy-efficient homes. These specialized loans offer financial incentives to buyers and homeowners who invest in environmentally friendly properties or upgrades. Understanding how these mortgages work can help you determine if they align with your homeownership and sustainability goals.
When you close on a home loan, you’ll likely hear the term “escrow account” mentioned—and if you’re like most buyers, you may not be entirely sure what it means. While it might sound complicated, an escrow account is a helpful tool that simplifies homeownership and protects your investment.
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